Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.651403 0.743098 0.842858 0.959428 1.091888 1.237716 1.410443
2025-04-06 0.491644 0.612856 0.756489 0.939150 1.165228 1.435872 1.784583
2025-04-13 0.395029 0.524400 0.687266 0.907172 1.196281 1.563428 2.065348
2025-04-20 0.359119 0.501796 0.690475 0.957950 1.327246 1.819201 2.524785
2025-04-27 0.330086 0.482210 0.692157 1.002612 1.449808 2.070681 2.998830
2025-05-04 0.305119 0.463875 0.691517 1.041104 1.564120 2.317573 3.486351
2025-05-11 0.278147 0.438633 0.676969 1.055873 1.642765 2.517268 3.920456
2025-05-18 0.246526 0.402284 0.641290 1.033730 1.661559 2.626920 4.225370
2025-05-25 0.221745 0.373616 0.613904 1.020552 1.691064 2.752756 4.563067
2025-06-01 0.202872 0.352279 0.595581 1.019204 1.737827 2.907492 4.957626
2025-06-08 0.187697 0.335389 0.582564 1.024685 1.795138 3.082301 5.397966
2025-06-15 0.175280 0.321866 0.573663 1.035765 1.861926 3.276829 5.886184
2025-06-22 0.158474 0.299159 0.547278 1.014617 1.872055 3.377797 6.225071
2025-06-29 0.143452 0.278207 0.522063 0.993158 1.879576 3.474675 6.565324
2025-07-06 0.128466 0.255742 0.491872 0.959365 1.860735 3.521452 6.815892
2025-07-13 0.126378 0.257814 0.507410 1.013025 2.010379 3.888858 7.698067
2025-07-20 0.123492 0.257975 0.519188 1.060220 2.151258 4.250443 8.598640
2025-07-27 0.119961 0.256441 0.527412 1.100894 2.282410 4.603142 9.510321
2025-08-03 0.113964 0.249193 0.523517 1.116501 2.364102 4.864716 10.259966
2025-08-10 0.104592 0.233875 0.501775 1.093103 2.363282 4.960514 10.676883
2025-08-17 0.096979 0.221616 0.485277 1.079177 2.380795 5.094349 11.183071
2025-08-24 0.091140 0.212707 0.475065 1.077753 2.424583 5.285465 11.825601
2025-08-31 0.086366 0.205742 0.468437 1.083545 2.484395 5.514688 12.568818